Nitesh Agarwal

Senior Data Scientist, Product Analytics — Meta

Causal inference and experimentation scientist — measuring product and business impact at scale.

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Nitesh Agarwal

Seattle, WA

0
years in data science
0B+
users impacted
0%
faster experiment reviews
0+
operators blacklisted
$0M+
annual savings at AWS

About

Nitesh Agarwal is a Senior Data Scientist at Meta (Product Analytics), previously Senior Data Scientist (L6) at Amazon. He has 12 years of experience in data science and analytics across e-commerce, consumer electronics, and marketing — currently leading impactful projects for Meta apps using causal inference, A/B testing, experiment design, and automation.

He also works on AI evaluation — testing AI agents that review experiments — and built an experiment review agent with Claude AI that saves 80% of time in experiment design and reviews. He built SeniorScamBench, a benchmark for how well scam-detection systems protect older adults. Earlier, he spent 5 years in data science consulting for U.S. startups and helped build data science teams. He holds an M.S. in Business Analytics and Data Science from the University of Cincinnati.

What I do

  • A/B testing
  • Experimentation
  • Experimental design
  • Causal inference
  • Product analytics
  • Machine learning
  • Predictive modeling
  • Statistics
  • Python
  • SQL
  • R
  • Tableau
  • Team management
  • Leadership
  • Consulting
  • AI evaluation
  • Scam detection
  • Elder fraud protection

Education

M.S., Business Analytics & Data Science — University of Cincinnati, Carl H. Lindner College of Business, 2019 (4.0 GPA)
B.E., Electrical & Electronics Engineering — Vellore Institute of Technology, 2013 (4.0 GPA)

Certifications

Introduction to Generative AI — Google, Aug 2023. Plus 12 DataCamp certifications in Python, R, and machine learning (2018–2019).

Languages

English
6+ Indian languages
SpanishElementary

Experience

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Data Scientist, Product Analytics Meta · Sep 2025 – Present ▾
  • Led impact analysis of 15 user actions (1B+ users) using fixed-effects regression; thread customization drove +8.9M daily sessions, influencing the H1'26 roadmap and $10M+ in engineering allocation across 14 projects.
  • Analysis and recommendations for 8+ A/B tests; launches lifted sessions (+0.04%), sticker sends (+4.7%), and GIF senders (+10.9%) across 500M+ DAU.
  • Built experiment automation tooling and dashboards for 8 teams using Claude and internal Meta AI tools; cut experiment review time from 2+ hours to ~20 minutes and established centralized measurement governance.
Data Scientist Manager (L6) Amazon · Aug 2022 – Jun 2025 ▾
  • Created a propensity score model and A/B testing framework, rolling out a digital engine solution for AWS cloud marketing.
  • Improved regional customer lifetime value models, increasing accuracy by 50%, optimizing marketing investment and SMB targeting.
  • Built reporting tracking 120+ metrics, saving 4.7k man-hours annually and $350K for delivery businesses.
Business Intelligence Engineer Manager Amazon · Sep 2021 – Aug 2022 ▾
Business Intelligence Engineer-II Amazon · Sep 2019 – Sep 2021 ▾
Analytics Consultant Aujas · Jun 2015 – Apr 2018 ▾
  • Led fraud analytics for UIDAI, the world's largest biometric ID system — team lead for the fraud analytics division, presenting findings to UIDAI's CEO and leadership team.
  • Built an operator scoring framework and machine learning models to identify suspicious operators and enrollment centers, plus reports and rules to flag suspicious activity.
Senior Business Analyst Affine Analytics · Aug 2014 – May 2015 ▾
  • U.S. car market analysis; used conjoint analysis to automate new-car pricing based on customers' willingness to pay.
  • Segmentation and logistic regression models to identify customers likely to churn and target them with relevant offers.
Decision Scientist Mu Sigma Inc. · May 2013 – Jul 2014 ▾
  • In-store shopping behavior insights for a major retailer, integrating POS transactions, planograms, and product data; checkout-lane optimization and on-shelf availability alerts.
  • Customer segmentation based on internet usage behavior to recommend the most relevant videos.

Hiring a data scientist?

I'm always happy to hear about interesting data science roles.

Get in touch →

Research & projects

Evaluating AI Agents for Experiment Review

Solo first-author paper in progress — a performance, quality, and cost framework for testing AI agents that review experiments. Targeting IEEE venues in 2027.

SeniorScamBench & Ask HALT

A benchmark and detection app for elder-targeted scams. Phase 1 finding: a standard SMS-spam classifier catches 97.6% of public SMS scams but only 28% of elder-targeted ones. Ask HALT is being built to close that gap.

Selected consulting projects
  • Operator Scoring Framework, UIDAI (Government of India) — flagged suspicious enrollment operators; 5,000+ operators blacklisted.
  • Authentication Device Behavior, UIDAI — flagged suspicious biometric auth devices; 5,000+ devices blocked.
  • Customer Sentiment Analysis, AT&T — social listening and segmentation to lift customer engagement.
  • Customer Segmentation & Churn, Godrej Nature's Basket — RFM segmentation and a churn model to retain high-value customers.
  • Car Price Optimization, Sonic Automotive — conjoint analysis for willingness-to-pay-based pricing.
  • In-Store Behavior Analysis, Walmart — checkout-lane optimization and stock-out alerts; +2% sales.

Research collaboration

Working on experimentation, causal inference, or AI evaluation? Let's talk.

Start a conversation →

Review contribution

0
peer reviews completed

Invited peer reviewer in AI evaluation, experimentation, and causal inference. Professional Member of IEEE.

10
venues
8
conferences
2
journals

Reviewer profiles

Review invitation

I review manuscripts on AI evaluation, experimentation, and causal inference.

Invite me to review →

Editorial inquiries

Considering me for an editorial board or guest editor role? I'd love to hear from you.

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Contact

The best way to reach me is email: hello@datawithnitesh.com. For press and expert-comment requests, see my Qwoted profile.

Hiring a data scientist?

I'm always happy to hear about interesting data science roles.

Get in touch →

Review invitation

I review manuscripts on AI evaluation, experimentation, and causal inference.

Invite me to review →

Editorial inquiries

Considering me for an editorial board or guest editor role? I'd love to hear from you.

Reach out →

Research collaboration

Working on experimentation, causal inference, or AI evaluation? Let's talk.

Start a conversation →